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\n\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e0e\u4e16\u754c\u4f3c\u4e4e\u90fd\u5728\u91cd\u65b0\u5ba1\u89c6\u5f7c\u6b64\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8054\u7cfb\u3002\u5168\u7403\u5316\u7684\u610f\u5916\u540e\u679c\u4ee5\u53ca\u5229\u76ca\u5206\u914d\u4e0d\u5747\u7684\u95ee \u9898\u6210\u4e3a\u5168\u7403\u5404\u56fd(\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u53d1\u8fbe\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53)\u9ad8\u5ea6\u5173\u6ce8\u7684\u8bdd\u9898\uff0c\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\uff0c\u8fd8\u6709\u4eba\u62c5\u5fc3\u201c\u4e2d\u56fd\u51b2\u51fb\u201d(china shock)\u5bfc\u81f4\u4e86\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u5c97\u4f4d\u7684\u6d41\u5931\u3002\u4e00\u4e9b\u4e3b\u8981\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u6b63\u5728\u915d\u917f\u51fa\u53f0\u6cd5\u89c4\u6765\u52a0\u5f3a\u5bf9\u5916\u5546\u6295\u8d44\u4ea4\u6613 \u7684\u5ba1\u6838\u2014\u2014\u5f53\u6240\u6d89\u6280\u672f\u5177\u5907\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u6218\u7565\u610f\u4e49\u65f6\u5c24\u4e3a\u5982\u6b64\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u60c5\u51b5\u90fd\u9884\u793a\u7740\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e0e\u4e16\u754c\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u8054\u7cfb\u6b63\u5728\u51cf\u5f31\uff0c\u4f46\u5f7c\u6b64\u8131\u79bb\u5e76\u975e\u4e0d\u53ef\u907f\u514d\u3002
\n\u6211\u4eec\u7740\u91cd\u62e9\u53d6\u4e865\u9879\u53ef\u80fd\u5bfc\u81f4\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e0e\u4e16\u754c\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8054\u7cfb\u53d1\u751f\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u8d8b\u52bf\uff0c\u5e76\u6a21\u62df\u4e86\u8fd9\u4e9b\u8d8b\u52bf\u53ef \u80fd\u5f15\u53d1\u7684\u4ef7\u503c\u521b\u9020\u6216\u6d41\u5931\u3002\u8fd95\u9879\u53d1\u5c55\u8d8b\u52bf\u662f\uff1a(1) \u6210\u4e3a\u8fdb\u53e3\u76ee\u7684\u5730\uff1b( 2) \u670d\u52a1\u4e1a\u7684\u5f00\u653e\uff1b( 3) \u91d1\u878d \u5e02\u573a\u5168\u7403\u5316\uff1b( 4) \u534f\u4f5c\u89e3\u51b3\u5168\u7403\u8bae\u9898\uff1b( 5) \u6280\u672f\u548c\u521b\u65b0\u7684\u6d41\u52a8\u3002
\n\u6211\u4eec\u4f7f\u7528\u9ea6\u80af\u9521\u5168\u7403\u589e\u957f\u6a21\u578b\u8fdb\u884c\u6a21\u62df\u8ba1\u7b97\uff0c\u5e76\u5229\u7528\u5916\u90e8\u7814\u7a76\u5bf9\u7ed3\u679c\u8fdb\u884c\u4e86\u8c03\u6574\uff0c\u6700\u7ec8\u53d1\u73b0\uff1a\u5982\u679c\u4e0a\u8ff05\u9879\u8d8b\u52bf\u5747\u5411\u52a0\u5f3a\u8054\u7cfb\u53d1\u5c55\uff0c\u5219\u4e2d\u56fd\u548c\u4e16\u754c\u52302040\u5e74\u6709\u671b\u521b\u9020\u5de8\u5927\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4ef7\u503c\uff0c\u800c\u51cf \u5f31\u8054\u7cfb\u5219\u53ef\u80fd\u4ee4\u5de8\u5927\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4ef7\u503c\u9762\u4e34\u98ce\u9669\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u4ef7\u503c\u7edd\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u90fd\u8868\u73b0\u4e3a\u5bf9GDP\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u5176\u4f59 \u5219\u8868\u73b0\u4e3a\u5176\u4ed6\u4ef7\u503c\u5f62\u5f0f\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u5728\u89e3\u51b3\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u95ee\u9898\u65f6\u9009\u62e9\u4e0d\u540c\uff0c\u5c06\u5bfc\u81f4\u793e\u4f1a\u6210\u672c\u51fa\u73b0\u6216\u5347\u6216\u964d \u7684\u5206\u5316\u3002\u52302040\u5e74\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u53d7\u5230\u5f71\u54cd\u7684\u603b\u4ef7\u503c\u6216\u5c06\u8fbe\u523022?37\u4e07\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u5927\u7ea6\u76f8\u5f53\u4e8e\u5168\u7403GDP\u7684 15%~26% (\u89c1\u56fe8) \u3002<\/p>\n

\u53ea\u8981\u8fd9\u79cd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8054\u7cfb\u53d1\u751f\u53d8\u5316\uff0c\u65e0\u8bba\u662f\u52a0\u5f3a\u8fd8\u662f\u51cf\u5f31\uff0c\u603b\u4f1a\u6709\u4e00\u4e9b\u5229\u76ca\u76f8\u5173\u65b9\u5f97\u76ca\u6216\u53d7\u635f\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u4e1c\u5357\u4e9a\u56fd\u5bb6\u4e5f\u8bb8\u4f1a\u56e0\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e0e\u4e16\u754c\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8054\u7cfb\u51cf\u5f31\u800c\u53d7\u76ca\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u5176\u4ed6\u56fd\u5bb6\u5bf9\u5b83\u4eec\u7684\u51fa\u53e3\u9700\u6c42\u5c06\u4f1a \u589e\u52a0\uff1b\u800c\u5047\u5982\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e0e\u4e16\u754c\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8054\u7cfb\u52a0\u5f3a\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u4e2d\u56fd\u67d0\u4e9b\u884c\u4e1a\u7684\u52b3\u52a8\u8005\u548c\u4f01\u4e1a\u5fc5\u5c06\u7ecf\u5386\u9635\u75db\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u653f\u5e9c\u5c06\u52a0\u5927\u5bf9\u4e16\u754c\u5176\u4ed6\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u8fdb\u53e3\u529b\u5ea6\u3002\u9700\u8981\u6307\u51fa\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u4e3a\u4e86\u4f30\u7b97\u76f8\u5173\u4ef7\u503c\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5728\u6a21\u62df\u65f6\u8bbe \u5b9a\u4e86\u4e00\u7ec4\u5177\u4f53\u7684\u6761\u4ef6\u548c\u5047\u8bbe\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u8fd9\u4e9b\u4f30\u7b97\u7ed3\u679c\u4e0d\u5e94\u88ab\u89c6\u4f5c\u5bf9\u672a\u6765\u7684\u9884\u6d4b[1]\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u5728\u6240\u8bbe\u5b9a \u60c5\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5047\u5b9a\u4e86\u5404\u8981\u7d20\u5bf9\u5168\u8981\u7d20\u751f\u4ea7\u7387\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u7ed3\u679c\u4f1a\u53d7\u5230\u4ee5\u4e0b\u56e0\u7d20\u5f71\u54cd\uff1a\u4e2d\u56fd \u670d\u52a1\u4e1a\u7684\u5f00\u653e\u7a0b\u5ea6\u3001\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u573a\u5f00\u653e\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4ee5\u53ca\u6280\u672f\u4ea4\u6d41\u6240\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u751f\u4ea7\u529b\u63d0\u9ad8\u7a0b\u5ea6\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u5728\u6a21\u62df\u7814\u7a76\u4e2d\u6392\u9664\u4e86\u51e0\u4e2a\u56e0\u7d20\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u4e0e\u653f\u6cbb\u8bae\u7a0b\u548c\u519b\u4e8b\u5e72\u9884\u76f8\u5173\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u3002\u672c\u6a21\u62df\u7814\u7a76\u4fa7\u91cd\u4e8e\u957f\u671f\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u5e76\u4e0d\u662f\u5728\u8bd5\u56fe\u9884\u6d4b\u5f53\u524d\u5173\u4e8e\u8d38\u6613\u548c\u5173\u7a0e\u8fa9\u8bba\u7684\u7ed3\u679c\u3002
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